Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.015273 0.017027 0.018798 0.020713 0.022721 0.024759 0.026980
2025-05-18 0.011872 0.014576 0.017427 0.020629 0.024102 0.027732 0.031792
2025-05-25 0.009522 0.012718 0.016214 0.020259 0.024753 0.029547 0.035003
2025-06-01 0.007913 0.011436 0.015417 0.020138 0.025490 0.031288 0.037974
2025-06-08 0.006529 0.010239 0.014574 0.019837 0.025909 0.032580 0.040358
2025-06-15 0.005556 0.009424 0.014084 0.019858 0.026622 0.034137 0.042976
2025-06-22 0.004563 0.008474 0.013347 0.019520 0.026862 0.035109 0.044895
2025-06-29 0.003634 0.007500 0.012503 0.018987 0.026820 0.035718 0.046362
2025-07-06 0.002697 0.006392 0.011405 0.018076 0.026276 0.035702 0.047079
2025-07-13 0.002335 0.006074 0.011304 0.018374 0.027155 0.037316 0.049641
2025-07-20 0.001885 0.005558 0.010897 0.018258 0.027509 0.038299 0.051461
2025-07-27 0.001471 0.005032 0.010436 0.018043 0.027718 0.039093 0.053048
2025-08-03 0.001171 0.004683 0.010243 0.018218 0.028473 0.040613 0.055578
2025-08-10 0.000845 0.004214 0.009853 0.018129 0.028909 0.041773 0.057719
2025-08-17 0.000536 0.003668 0.009296 0.017781 0.028995 0.042494 0.059328
2025-08-24 0.000335 0.003273 0.008931 0.017668 0.029358 0.043534 0.061300
2025-08-31 0.000168 0.002843 0.008465 0.017386 0.029483 0.044269 0.062897
2025-09-07 0.000079 0.002568 0.008227 0.017406 0.029986 0.045455 0.065021
2025-09-14 0.000014 0.002194 0.007772 0.017089 0.030031 0.046066 0.066449
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001795 0.007215 0.016591 0.029816 0.046339 0.067457
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001335 0.006454 0.015740 0.029099 0.045967 0.067670
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001241 0.006435 0.016019 0.029899 0.047489 0.070171
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001053 0.006177 0.015910 0.030164 0.048330 0.071839